Friday, March 20, 2020

#Ethiopia

SPECIAL EDITION: FAILED POLITICS AND DECEPTION: BEHIND THE CRISIS IN WESTERN AND SOUTHERN OROMIA

Thursday, March 19, 2020

#Ethiopia





Onslaught in Oromia, NEKEMTE


A hidden war threatens Ethiopia’s transition to democracy

Abiy Ahmed’s crackdown in Oromia is bloody and lawless
Middle East and AfricaMar 21st 2020 edition

In the corner of a restaurant in Nekemte, a town in western Ethiopia, Fisaha Aberra unfolds a piece of paper on which he has scrawled the names of 11 men he says were shot by soldiers last year. After this came mass arrests. Fisaha and two siblings fled their home in Guliso to Nekemte, leaving one brother behind who was arrested last month, for the second time in a year, and beaten so hard he cannot walk.
Arrests and summary executions have become commonplace in the far-flung reaches of Oromia, Ethiopia’s largest region. The Ethiopian security forces are waging war on armed Oromo separatists. They are also treating civilians brutally. Accounts by witnesses suggest there is indiscriminate repression of local dissent in a country supposedly on the path from one-party rule towards democracy.

Afan Oromo , Ali Birra, Anis biyyan Qaba.

#Ethiopia

By Farzad Farhadi

Egypt and Ethiopia are in battle array

March 17, 2020 - 12:47


TEHRAN - Tensions between Egypt and Addis Ababa have mounted over the water, and senior Ethiopian military officials have threatened to retaliate if Cairo bombarded the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. In its latest stance, senior Ethiopian military officials have announced their readiness to prevent any attack on the dam.
Ethiopian military’s Chief of Staff General Adem Mohammed said, “We are ready to repel any military attack on the Renaissance Dam and we will retaliate in case of any attack”.
He expressed his stance during a visit to the dam, along with senior military officers.
On the other hand, Brigadier General Yilma Merdasa, Ethiopian Air Force Commander, said that the air force is ready to crush any airstrikes on the Renaissance Dam.
Ethiopia has refused to attend the negotiations with Egypt and Sudan in the U.S., stressing its water right and the use of its water resources. Although analysts point out that Egypt's military power is tangibly superior to Ethiopia, Egypt has the Aswan Dam that makes the country vulnerable. Egyptian legal and military experts have warned that if Ethiopia fills the Dam, Egypt will face great danger.
Many Egyptian activists emphasized that this is a serious matter and called on the Egyptian army to play its role in supporting Egypt's national security before it is too late.
Many Egyptian activists in social media have referred to Abdul Munim Riad, who was killed in March 1969, saying: He was with Egyptian army officers and troops at the forefront of defending the Suez Canal. This was the first time in contemporary military history that the chief of staff of armed forces was killed at the front line. In this complicated situation, the commanders of the army should follow Abdul Munim Riad’s path.
There is geopolitical coup
Abdelazim Hammad, former chief editor of the Al-Ahram and Al-Shuruq newspapers, said, “The most dangerous issue in connection with the Renaissance Dam will be water shortage and it is undoubtedly a geopolitical and strategic coup that a foreigner dominate the only source of life for the Egyptians”.
According to analysts and observers, the Ethiopian government’s refusal to negotiate on the Renaissance Dam means that the country is not serious about any political approach and seeks to fill the dam as planned. It does not consider the damage it could cause to Egypt, including reducing Egypt’s share of the water the Nile and inflicting harm on Egyptian farmers. 
 Ethiopia's insistence on the filling the dam as planned with the support of Washington and Tel Aviv
The Raialyoum newspaper cited the escalated tensions between Cairo and Addis Ababa and stated that Addis Ababa insists on its plan because it believes that as the source of Nile River, on which the dam has been built, is in Ethiopia, the issue is related to the country’s sovereignty. But in the meantime, the stance of the US and the Zionist regime that has taken Ethiopia's side is significant. It seems that the U.S. has turned its back on Cairo.
The paper also added that given Ethiopia's stance and U.S. conspiracy, Cairo is faced with three scenarios:
1.    Egypt will protect its water interests and security and target and destroy the dam and take the responsibility of all its consequences, especially as it has the military capability and an efficient air force for carrying out this move.
2.    Resorting to proxy war and backing the enemies of Ethiopia in the Horn of Africa. This move includes supporting the liberation movement of the Somali Ogadine region that Ethiopia has annexed to its territory, Islamic movements in Ethiopia, backing Eritrea in the border disputes with Ethiopia and fueling them, especially as the Egyptian intelligence service in the Horn of Africa is capable enough to do so.
3.    Egypt to cope with the situation and to accept its future losses and casualties and to avoid war, which is unlikely given the increasing criticism in Egypt and the way the Egyptian government is dealing with the Renaissance Dam crisis. In this regard, Egyptian parliamentarian Abdul Hamid Kamal from Suez said, “The Egyptian foreign minister must come to the parliament to comment on the remarks of Ahmed Nagash, Executive Director of the Regional Technical Office for the East Nile. Ahmed Nagash said that Egypt is acting as it is the owner of the Renaissance Dam and its proposal is ridiculous. This issue must be dealt with seriously in order to preserve the rights of Egypt’s people and its historic share of the Nile. The Ethiopian official has condemned Egypt and called the Egyptian proposal ridiculous. This is a dangerous matter and the ignorance of Egyptian rights and legitimate demand”.
Legal and military experts and analysts have warned that if Ethiopia continues to build and fill the dam within the next few months, the upcoming days will be dangerous. This will pose a great danger to Cairo.

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Wednesday, March 18, 2020

#Ethioipia

Is Ethiopia sliding backwards under Abiy Ahmed?

We challenge an adviser to Ethiopia's prime minister on his record and discuss Modi's India with two Bollywood stars.

 EthiopiaAbiy AhmedIndiaNarendra ModiMedia
In this episode of UpFront, we challenge Lencho Bati, an adviser to the office of the Ethiopian prime minister about Abiy Ahmed's controversial handling of protests and ask why the Nobel laureate is so media-shy.
And we talk to two Bollywood legends about why so many celebrities in India are not speaking out against Prime Minister Narendra Modi's hardline brand of Hindu nationalism.

Did Ethiopia's Abiy get the Nobel Prize too soon?

In 2018 Abiy became prime minister of Ethiopia after protests caused the ruling coalition to reshuffle and remove the governing party from power after nearly 30 years of authoritarian rule.
In addition to sweeping political and economic reforms, Abiy released political prisoners and made a peace deal with neighbouring Eritrea, ending two decades of hostility. For this, he won the 2019 Nobel Peace Prize.
But under his government, protesters have been jailed, the internet has been blocked and a new law has just been passed that could jail people whose online posts stir unrest.
However, Lencho Bati, a senior adviser to the office of the prime minister, says the government of Abiy has done nothing wrong.
"All oppositions, armed and peaceful, are invited back, so the political space is wide and everybody is in the country, registering and campaigning," Bati said.
Abiy's tenure has also been plagued by ethnic conflict, with hundreds of thousands of people being internally displaced. Yet Bati says that the current government is not to blame.
"Ethiopian people used to live together peacefully. This is politically masterminded, agitated from behind in order to sabotage the reforms," Bati said.
"The overthrown elites, the people who were enjoying privilege for 27 years, they want to make sure this process is sabotaged," he added.
Perhaps the most radical of Abiy's reforms is the dissolution of the governing coalition and the merging of several parties to form the Prosperity Party.
The Prosperity Party has its critics, among them, some of Abiy's own allies: His own defence minister, Lemma Megersa, said the creation of the party is "not timely as there are many dangers".
But Bati says the creation of the Prosperity Party is a positive move.
"Peace and stability is the burning issue, there is no question about that. The prime minister liberalised the political space, all oppositions are invited in, including those who are in armed struggle. Those who were in prison were released and now the political space is free," Lencho said.
This week's headliner is senior adviser to the office of the prime minister of Ethiopia, Lencho Bati.

Is Bollywood complicit in pushing Modi's right-wing agenda?

The mainstreaming of a hardline brand of Hindu nationalism, mob lynchings, attacks on students, and an escalation in hate crimes: These have all become features of India under the leadership of Prime Minister Modi.
However, most celebrities have been reluctant to speak out against the prime minister's politics. Bollywood songwriter and poet Javed Akhtar is one of the few who is raising his voice.
He believes Modi is a fascist.
"Of course he is, I mean fascists don't have horns on their head," Akhtar said. "The moment you hate people in wholesale, you're a fascist," he added.
Bollywood director and producer Mahesh Bhatt says Muslims and other minorities in India have never felt more insecure and believes the media has played a key role in fueling anti-Muslim sentiment.
"I mean, that kind of a fear has been crafted, been structured day in and day out ... the pliable channels are working around the clock to create, the 'other'," he said.
But when it comes to Bollywood and Modi, many stars appear to support the prime minister, or at least refuse to criticise him. Bhatt says that fear is to blame.
"They feel very vulnerable, but the explosive silence speaks for itself, that these people are frightened to speak their minds, even if they feel completely different to what they are posturing privately," he said.
Akhtar agrees that people are scared to speak out, but he also says that the influence Bollywood has is highly exaggerated.
"Theatre or cinema's influence is highly exaggerated. No country can claim that a revolution or a great social change came into that society because of a film," Akhtar said.
Bhatt said if books or films could change a nation, India would have become a paradise by now.
"On the ground, I think there are other more serious things which ultimately decide which particular party will rule us. And filmmakers or actors and actresses ... have a very limited role to play in creating the atmospherics," Bhatt said.
On this week's UpFront, Bollywood heavyweights Mahesh Bhatt and Javed Akhtar discuss the film industry's role in speaking out against hardline Hindu nationalism in Modi's India.
Follow UpFront on Twitter @AJUpFront and Facebook.
Source: Al Jazeera